关键字：电子业 智能家居
此次调查旨在了解产品设计的演变，并希望能勾画一份2020年的未来蓝图，共收到了570份有效回复。
这些回复中最一致的认识是，突破性技术将产生更强大而智能的产品，以及OEM在产品设计及工艺设计上对合同制造商的依赖将日益增强。基于城市化和社会智能化，34.4％的受访者认为未来，智能家居对电子制造和组件产业影响最大。而由于产业日益自动化，智能汽车和智能家居在产品设计和验证阶段的重要性也将越来越强。
电子产品的设计、功能以及元件尺寸有望得到迅速的发展。这些变革也将直接影响制造技术。58.2％的受访者一致认为，基于人工智能的产品将是未来10年产业发展的标准。新能源和智能电网也将对2020年前的绿色和节能技术产生至关重要的作用。
而如下公司将在未来获得较大的发展：虚拟化、移动应用、实时通信、电子诊断/监护以及逐渐模糊人类和机器区别界限的产品（比如医疗机器人等）。
能否抓住下一个大变革的关键在于能否准确把握价值点以及消费者行为的改变。需要注意的是，这种把握的效益和效果会因行业不同而大有不同。
领先公司和业界思想领袖都深刻意识到技术创新以及“市场先入者”策略的影响。能否准确判定快速增长的产品或领域，并进行适当的资源配置（包括人才和资金）对成功至关重要。而是否能够进行跨产业学习成功经验的能力——即复制其它行业成功经验的能力——也将对产业竞争态势起到重要作用。
最后，想着重说明的是，经济状况的发展趋势仍未确定，未来的蓝图勾画需要各界参与。很期待您来分享您的看法。您认为当前经济趋势将如何影响不同产业的研发和创新？以及这又将对电子产业供应链产生何种影响呢？
The Road Ahead: How Electronics Is Evolving
Lavanya Rammohan, Research Analyst, Electronics & Contract Manufacturing Practice, Frost & Sullivan
The future of the electronics industry involves smart homes, smart factories, green IT, cloud computing, robotics, intuitive consumer products, smart and artificial intelligence-based production, nanomaterials, and flexible electronics, among other emerging business trends, according to a survey recently conducted by Frost & Sullivan and EBN.
The survey strived to understand the evolution of product design and provide some roadmaps for 2020. The survey had 570 respondents, whose responses were interesting, to say the least.
The underlying themes were the development of more powerful and intelligent products with disruptive technology and an increased reliance by OEMs on contract manufacturers to support product design and design for manufacturability. As urbanization increases and we head toward a smart society, 34.4 percent of respondents picked smart homes as the product or trend that will have the greatest impact on electronics manufacturing and connected devices. As the industry transitions toward increasing automation, smart cars and smart homes have also made significant inroads into the design and validation stages.
Electronics product design, functionality, and component sizes are expected to evolve rapidly. These innovations will have a direct impact on manufacturing techniques. A resounding 58.2 percent of respondents agreed that smart and artificial intelligence-based production will be the norm within the next 10 years. Power generation and smart grids will also play a vital role in defining green and energy-efficient manufacturing techniques by 2020.
Companies will benefit from things like increased virtualization, mobile applications, real-time communications, advances in diagnostics and monitoring, and the blurring of the lines between human and machine interfaces (medical robotics, etc.)
The ease of understanding the next big innovation lies in the ability to capture the value and magnitude of the impact on consumers. Additionally, the benefits and effects will vary by industry.
Companies and thought leaders are well aware of the impact of technology innovation and a first-to-market strategy. The ability to spot the fastest-growth products/segments and allocate the right resources (talent and capital) will have a great impact on success. And cross-pollination -- the ability to transfer best-practices from one industry to another -- will play a vital role in the bid for competitive positioning.
It is important to note that, with economic uncertainty ahead, product roadmap development requires a different level of commitment. We would like to hear from you. How do you think the current economic trends will shape R&D and innovation across different industries? How will this impact the electronics supply chain?